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Robotaxis are coming

Keith C.
/
Flickr

Driverless ride-hailing vehicles – popularly known as robotaxis – are showing up in a growing number of cities. Several of the largest technology companies in the world are leading the charge using their deep pockets both to put vehicles on the streets and influence how they and sometimes their competitors are portrayed in the media.

The technologies and the vehicles themselves vary considerably but the basic idea is the same: you summon a driverless vehicle, electronically specify a destination, and the vehicle takes you there.

The economic argument is a compelling one. If there is no driver to pay, the cost of a ride can be less. And there is nobody to tip. For the provider, there is no workforce to manage, compensate, or schedule.

The primary consideration, however, is safety. Are robotaxis safe? Over 40,000 Americans die in auto accidents each year. More than 90% of accidents are caused by human error. Human drivers can be distracted; impaired by fatigue, alcohol, or drugs; or do dangerous things because they are in a hurry, angry, or make bad decisions. Robotaxis have none of these problems.

Will robotaxis get into accidents? For sure. Will people get killed in robotaxis? Most likely. Perfection is unattainable. But the point is that there will be fewer accidents and robotaxis will be safer than cars driven by humans.

Robotaxi technology is rapidly improving, and most people don’t realize how good it already is. Opinion polls say that most people don’t trust driverless cars, but that is going to change. Robotaxis offer privacy, safety, and predictability and ready or not, they are coming.

Randy Simon has over 30 years of experience in renewable energy technology, materials research, superconductor applications, and a variety of other technical and management areas. He has been an officer of a publicly-traded Silicon Valley company, worked in government laboratories, the aerospace industry, and at university research institutions. He holds a PhD in physics from UCLA. Dr. Simon has authored numerous technical papers, magazine articles, energy policy documents, online articles and blogs, and a book, and holds seven patents. He also composes, arranges and produces jazz music
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