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Inside Elections Analyst Dissects Some NY House Races

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Less than a year before the 2020 elections, there are some changes in the most recent U.S. House and Senate ratings from Congressional Quarterly Roll Call and Inside Elections. In part two of their interview, WAMC’s Hudson Valley Bureau Chief Allison Dunne spoke with the Inside Elections publisher about how the 2020 election is shaping up in a few New York districts.

Nathan Gonzales is editor and publisher of Inside Elections, which provides nonpartisan analysis of campaigns for Senate, House, governor and president. In New York’s 22nd District, first-term Democrat Anthony Brindisi could face a rematch against his predecessor, Republican Claudia Tenney.

Roll Call rates the 22nd District a toss-up. Gonzales says that, while in most cases, incumbents have the advantage, the district is Republican on paper, putting Brindisi in a more vulnerable position than some of his Democratic colleagues. And he says eyes will be on some other New York districts.

Roll Call’s rating for New York’s 1st District is “likely Republican”; the 11th District, a “toss-up”; the 24th District, “lean Republican”; and the 2nd District, “lean Republican” as well. 

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